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2024-12-13 05:28:56
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When we adjusted the monetary easing more than expected, the exchange rate did not move; The old US CPI data is favorable for interest rate cuts, and the rise of the US dollar and the fall of non-US currencies are directly reflected. Therefore, it still depends on the detailed rules and policies, otherwise the market funds will not buy it now.Now is the New Year's Eve monster stock game vs. National Nine Articles, and institutions will definitely not take over in these directions! So it's basically hot money and quantitative initiation, and then after pulling a few boards, I throw the chips to the retail investors who chase high. I don't know how many of the 300 billion board-playing funds are now in the pockets of hot money and quantification.Technically, as I have repeatedly suggested in the article, Tuesday's false negative line is a small high point. Before there is no counter-package to recover lost ground, the market estimates that Xiaoyang Xiaoyin has a high probability of continuing to shake and consolidate, so don't expect a big rise or a big fall, lower expectations, and try the market.


In the evening, the CPI data released by Laomei was in line with expectations, and the market's expectation that Laomei would continue to cut interest rates next week rose to 97%. Then the US dollar index rose ahead of schedule, and non-US currencies fell again. In the evening, large US technology stocks took the Nasdaq to the 20,000 mark for the first time!December 12th Morning Post: US stocks hit a new high. Will A shares follow?There is still a problem to remind everyone, although the small ticket has gone up again recently, but high-priced stocks have nuclear buttons every day. Yesterday, most of the consumption, AI and robots were dominated by the first board hype, and the funds switched between the above sectors, but the influence was really average.


It seems that foreign capital will not return to A-shares for the time being, and the short-term capital will be wrapped up by hot money and quantitative funds. The heavy positions of institutions will continue to lose blood, and the short-term market index is not too strong. Let's focus on the rhythm of individual stocks!Today, the market has a high probability of falling back, so be careful of the risks caused by low-priced stocks. I am not sure when the hot money and quantification will start sickle harvesting, but the median ticket continues to ebb, which is a risk signal in itself. Safety first now, through the shock consolidation period, the good days are yet to come!After all, the board must be broken or down in the end, and the game is just a personal understanding of funds, emotions and news. It has nothing to do with fundamentals and logic. What is vividly interpreted here is eat small fish, a big fish. When a small fish eats shrimp, the shrimp can only eat dirt.

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